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Sponsored by ASCE Continuing Education and the Committee on Adaption to a Changing Climate (CACC).
INSTRUCTOR: Bilal M. Ayyub, Ph.D., P.E., Dist.M.ASCE
Purpose and Background
Natural disasters in 2011 alone resulted in $366 billion (2011 US$) in direct damages and 29,782 fatalities worldwide. Storms and floods accounted for up to 70% of the 302 natural disasters worldwide, with earthquakes producing the greatest number of fatalities. Trends show an increase in these losses, attributable in part to a changing climate. Managing these risks rationally requires appropriate definitions of risks and resilience and associated metrics, and the using appropriate decision criteria. This webinar provides such definitions. It discusses climate resilience with a special focus on extreme precipitation for non-stationary processes.
Primary Discussion Topics
- Climate projections, data and tools
- Engineering practice: stationary versus non-stationary processes
- Low regret, adaptive strategies
- Extreme value analysis
Learning Outcomes
- Identify climate trends and where to go for data and tools
- Explain limitations of current design practices and future needs
- Develop an appreciation of adaptive design and associated uses
- Introduce concepts on extremes in a changing climate
Webinar Benefits
- Learn the trends of climate, data sources and tools
- Consider the limitations of stationarity used in current engineering practices
- Examine fundamentals of the observational method and adaptive design
- Develop an understanding of extremes in a changing climate
Intended Audience
- Civil engineers of all specialties
- Researchers from academia, national labs
- Graduate students
- Public agency engineers
- City planners
Webinar Outline
- Climate projections, data and tools engineering practice
- Stationary versus non-stationary processes dilemma for engineering planning and design
- Low regret, adaptive strategies observational method
- Real option and adaptive risk management extreme value analysis
- Concluding remarks